Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gateshead · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gateshead are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Woking are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gateshead hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the National League, while Gateshead holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gateshead
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
12.6%
Gateshead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80