GGOALVIO

GAS logoGASvsNacional AM logoNacional AM

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional AM · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

GAS are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nacional AM are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional AM hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Serie D, while Nacional AM holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nacional AM

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Nacional AM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GASLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional AMLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GASNacional AM
26.7Attack39.2
43.3Defence72.5
16.7Form56.9
31.3Power58.4
0.43xG1.32
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