Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manauara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
GAS are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Manauara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manauara hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.5% in the Serie D, while Manauara holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manauara
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
22.5%
Manauara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80