Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Garliava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tauras are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tauras hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Tauras holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tauras
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
14.5%
Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40