Garliavavs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Garliava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the 1 Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00