Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Garliava are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Minija are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40