Garliavavs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Garliava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the 1 Lyga, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20