GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Garliava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Garliava

Probability

69.7%

Model confidence

69.7%

Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarliavaDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FA Šiauliai IILDLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GarliavaFA Šiauliai II
40.4Attack30.0
64.9Defence25.0
38.6Form18.3
48.5Power27.7
2.08xG0.55
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