Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Garliava are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ekranas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Garliava hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Garliava holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40