Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Garliava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Be1 NFA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Be1 NFA hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the 1 Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20