GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gareji · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Gareji are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aragvi Dusheti are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gareji hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Gareji holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gareji

Probability

76.8%

Model confidence

14.8%

Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GarejiDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiLLWDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GarejiAragvi Dusheti
81.5Attack33.3
64.8Defence55.0
70.4Form41.7
70.5Power46.4
2.47xG0.60
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