GardabanivsMerani Tbilisi

Gardabani are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (28.2 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.