GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Margveti 2006 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gardabani are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Margveti 2006 hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (28.2 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga 3, while Margveti 2006 holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Margveti 2006

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Margveti 2006 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GardabaniDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Margveti 2006WWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GardabaniMargveti 2006
27.5Attack33.3
25.5Defence37.3
25.5Form35.3
28.2Power37.6
1.09xG1.41
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