Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gardabani are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Irao are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Irao hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (28.2 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.7% in the Liga 3, while Irao holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
79.7%
Model confidence
79.7%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60