Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gonio · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Gardabani are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gonio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gonio hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (28.2 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Liga 3, while Gonio holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gonio
Probability
81.2%
Model confidence
17.3%
Gonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40