GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Trefelin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and GAP Connah S Quay FC hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 8.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Premier League, while GAP Connah S Quay FC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

10.1%

GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GAP Connah S Quay FCWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrefelinLLLLW

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
GAP Connah S Quay FCTrefelin
66.7Attack0.0
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
56.2Power8.0
2.24xG1.10
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