GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/2/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Caernarfon Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and GAP Connah S Quay FC hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Premier League, while GAP Connah S Quay FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

11.8%

GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GAP Connah S Quay FCLDWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Caernarfon TownLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GAP Connah S Quay FCCaernarfon Town
66.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power53.0
1.74xG1.37
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