GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/8/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ballkani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ballkani are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballkani hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ballkani holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ballkani

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GAP Connah S Quay FCWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BallkaniLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GAP Connah S Quay FCBallkani
33.3Attack58.3
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form58.3
36.5Power58.8
1.35xG1.54
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