GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 5/12/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gangwon FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Daejeon Citizen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gangwon FC hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gangwon FCDDWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Daejeon CitizenLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gangwon FCDaejeon Citizen
39.7Attack40.9
73.0Defence63.6
50.8Form39.4
55.4Power48.6
0.95xG0.59
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