Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gandzasar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gandzasar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shirak are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gandzasar hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Premier League, while Gandzasar holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gandzasar
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
9.5%
Gandzasar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60