Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gandzasar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gandzasar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ararat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gandzasar hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gandzasar holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gandzasar
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Gandzasar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00