GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gamba Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamba OsakaLWDDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
83.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power95.8
1.39xG1.67
View match centre →