GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gamba Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gamba Osaka

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamba OsakaDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Avispa FukuokaDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gamba OsakaAvispa Fukuoka
83.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence83.3
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power59.3
1.55xG1.33
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