Gamavs
Primavera MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gama are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Primavera MG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40