GGOALVIO

Gama logoGamavsPrimavera MG logoPrimavera MG

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Gama are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Primavera MG are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gama

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GamaWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Primavera MGWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
GamaPrimavera MG
62.7Attack33.3
74.5Defence56.7
76.5Form40.0
71.9Power45.0
1.90xG0.43
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