Gamavs
Brasiliense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gama are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Brasiliense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.8% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
22.8%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80