GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 3/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galway United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Galway United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Waterford are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Galway United hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier Division, while Galway United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galway United

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Galway UnitedLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WaterfordLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Galway UnitedWaterford
42.3Attack45.7
48.7Defence40.7
38.5Form34.6
45.6Power42.0
1.63xG1.27
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