GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 7/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galway United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Galway United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Crumlin United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Galway United hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the FAI Cup, while Galway United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galway United

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Galway UnitedWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Crumlin UnitedWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Galway UnitedCrumlin United
83.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form50.0
74.3Power47.0
2.38xG1.45
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