GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independência · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Galvez are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Independência are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independência hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Serie D, while Independência holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independência

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Independência has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GalvezLLDL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
IndependênciaWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GalvezIndependência
46.7Attack50.0
0.0Defence63.9
33.3Form44.4
28.8Power52.8
1.02xG2.10
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