Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galvez · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Galvez are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Humaitá are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Galvez hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 6.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Serie D, while Galvez holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Galvez
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Galvez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 1 · GA 20 · avg 0.20/4.00