Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gais are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Malmo FF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.0 against 52.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Allsvenskan, while Gais holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
13.1%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40