Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gagra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gagra are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Urartu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gagra hold a 62.0-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gagra holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gagra
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Gagra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40