GagravsDinamo Tbilisi

Gagra are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.