Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Fylkir are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Völsungur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.1% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
76.1%
Model confidence
76.1%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40