Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fylkir are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Njardvik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.7 against 58.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60