Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fulham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Norwich are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 38.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fulham holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fulham
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Fulham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40