GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jiangxi Liansheng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fujian Quanzhou Qinggong are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Jiangxi Liansheng are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold a 66.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the FA Cup, while Jiangxi Liansheng holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jiangxi Liansheng

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Jiangxi Liansheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fujian Quanzhou QinggongLDL

GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Jiangxi LianshengWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fujian Quanzhou QinggongJiangxi Liansheng
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power73.7
1.05xG1.88
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