GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FSV Mainz 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FSV Mainz 05 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 5.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Holstein Kiel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (83.7 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FSV Mainz 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FSV Mainz 05

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

FSV Mainz 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FSV Mainz 05WWWWL

GF 28 · GA 4 · avg 5.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Holstein KielDWWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FSV Mainz 05Holstein Kiel
100.0Attack71.4
79.2Defence57.1
91.7Form47.6
83.7Power56.9
2.67xG1.16
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