FSV Mainz 05vs
Holstein Kiel
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FSV Mainz 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FSV Mainz 05 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 5.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Holstein Kiel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (83.7 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FSV Mainz 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FSV Mainz 05
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
FSV Mainz 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 28 · GA 4 · avg 5.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80