FSV Mainz 05vs
Bournemouth
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FSV Mainz 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FSV Mainz 05 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bournemouth are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (67.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FSV Mainz 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FSV Mainz 05
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
9.8%
FSV Mainz 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40