FSV Mainz 05 IIvs
Progres Niederkorn
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Progres Niederkorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
FSV Mainz 05 II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Progres Niederkorn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Progres Niederkorn hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Progres Niederkorn holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Progres Niederkorn
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Progres Niederkorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60