GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FSV Mainz 05 II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FSV Mainz 05 II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mechtersheim are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Mainz 05 II hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FSV Mainz 05 II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FSV Mainz 05 II

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

FSV Mainz 05 II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FSV Mainz 05 IILWWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MechtersheimLLDDD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FSV Mainz 05 IIMechtersheim
48.5Attack16.7
33.3Defence0.0
36.4Form50.0
41.1Power25.2
1.97xG1.77
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