FS JelgavavsTukums

FS Jelgava are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tukums are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.0 against 38.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.