FS Jelgavavs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FS Jelgava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tukums are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.0 against 38.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tukums
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Tukums has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40