FS JelgavavsRiga

FS Jelgava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Riga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.7% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.