GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 6/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FS Jelgava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FS Jelgava are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ogre United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FS Jelgava hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FS Jelgava

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

FS Jelgava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FS JelgavaDDDLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ogre UnitedLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FS JelgavaOgre United
32.1Attack32.0
43.6Defence13.3
32.1Form18.7
37.0Power24.9
1.76xG0.96
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