Frosinonevs
Juve Stabia
SCHEDULEDItaly · Coppa Italia · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frosinone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frosinone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Juve Stabia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frosinone hold a 48.1-point power-rating edge (63.4 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Coppa Italia, while Frosinone holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frosinone
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
10.8%
Frosinone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20