Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frosinone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Frosinone are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ascoli are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Frosinone hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Frosinone holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frosinone
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Frosinone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60