Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Biebrich are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00