Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Frem are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Roskilde are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Roskilde hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Roskilde holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
10.0%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00