Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Frem are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while LSF are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Frem hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Frem holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frem
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
7.5%
Frem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80