GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 4/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fredrikstad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Valerenga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.9 against 44.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Eliteserien, while Valerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valerenga

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FredrikstadWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ValerengaLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FredrikstadValerenga
35.4Attack54.9
43.8Defence33.3
41.7Form41.2
42.9Power44.0
1.53xG1.71
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